Tropical Rainforest will Survive the Future global warming: finds IIT Kharagpur study

The tropical rain forests (TRF) like Amazon or Western Ghats are considered as “the lungs of the planet”, contain about 200-300 petagram (1015) or approx. 1/3rd of the total atmospheric carbon and plays a crucial role in modulating the global carbon cycle, biodiversity and hydrological cycle. The 2023 AR6 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warns if the CO2 emission and global warming continues unabated the TRF community may altogether collapse much before the end of this century, and will drive a global catastrophe affecting nearly 800 million people worldwide. However, scientists are sharply divided on this issue. Predictions made through climate-vegetation models suggest that just a 2˚C increase in mean annual temperature could increase the respiration rates and push trees to their photosynthetic threshold causing their mortality. This will be compounded by increased extreme events like variability in rainfall, droughts and wildfires. Yet others think that over longer time scale plants will adapt to these changes by changing their diversities or invading into favourable climate zones. This has indeed been found in the Andes where low elevation warmer region trees are invading into the colder higher altitude region. In the Himalayas the Rhododendrons blooming time is slowly changing. The only way to test these contradicting predictions is to study the evolutionary record of the TRF plant community and the climate in the past when the earth went through natural warming phase due to high CO2 emission.

Position of Indian landmass 56 million years back with location of Vastan, Gujarat (Yellow asterisk)

A team of scientists from IIT Kharagpur, Calcutta University and University of Western Ontario have studied detail records of TRF in sediments from Vastan coal mines of Gujarat deposited in coastal lagoons around 56 million years back.  India was a tropical island then surrounded by oceans and Himalayas were yet to form. The period is known as Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) when global carbon dioxide rose to >1000 ppmv, an abnormally high level that the future global warming might reach. The PETM is the most rapid global warming event known in Earth’s history. An amount of carbon approximately equal to the total modern fossil fuel reservoir was released in the ocean-atmosphere system due to release of carbon stored in sea-floor sediments. The coal layers in Vastan are nothing but a spectacularly fossilized tropical rain forest containing huge amount of plant and pollen remains as well as variety of mammals and insects those lived in these forests. In fact, world’s earliest mammals evolved here due to this climate shift at PETM.

The Coal beds of Vastan that was once a dense tropical rain forest

“The study took several years of field and laboratory investigation. We had to date the sediments to confirm its PETM age and collected samples at centimeter intervals, analyzed the pollens to understand how the TRF community evolved in response to such extreme global warming. To understand how the climate changed during this super-greenhouse globe we analyzed isotopes of carbon in the plant organic matter and developed special techniques of measuring isotopes of oxygen and hydrogen in micron size clay mineral kaolinite that precipitated in these lagoonal water. The climate was also monitored by analyzing oxygen isotopes in fossil teeth of small horse-like ungulate mammals those once roamed in these forests,” said Prof. Anindya Sarkar, the lead researcher of IIT Kharagpur. The study has just been published online in prestigious El Sevier Journal Global and Planetary Change.

Fossil remain of plant that grew during the super greenhouse earth

“Pollens are widely dispersed by air and water, resistant to decay and are invaluable indicators for reconstructing ancient biomes. Evidence of huge diversity (70 families and 256 taxa) of dense tropical rainforest trees like Sal, Mahogany, Palm, a variety of evergreen and mangrove plants are preserved in the sediment and coal beds of Vastan. No wonder that such rain forest harbored diverse animals including ancestors of early horses, snakes and insects,” said Prof. Subir K Bera of Calcutta University, an expert in ancient plants and co-author of the paper.

Pollens of 56 million year old rain forest trees

“We found a large anomaly in carbon isotopes exactly at 56 million year. This was such a characteristic signal for a super greenhouse globe with very high atmospheric CO2. The hydrogen and oxygen isotope compositions in clays depend on land temperature and amount of rainfall and act as snapshots of past climate. Likewise, the isotopes in fossil teeth record the history of what water animals drank. As the CO2 began to increase, the land became abnormally hot >40oC. But to our surprise we found that the temperature came down to ~30oC during the later period, almost similar to today. The rainforest not only survived but also diversified during and after this global warming phase,” said Arpita Samanta, a former PhD student at IIT Kharagpur currently Assistant Professor at Asutosh College, Calcutta and the lead author of the paper.

An extinct fly preserved in tree amber of Vastan (photo courtesy Dr. H.S. Rana, Birbal Sahni Institute of Palaeosciences, Lucknow)

“What helped the rainforest’s survival? We critically looked at the rainfall pattern and found that the warming intensified the rainfall and that possibly brought down the temperature. We call it rainfall buffered temperature. The increased rainfall and lowered temperature sustained these ancient rainforests of western India,” said Dr. Melinda K Bera, an isotope expert who painstakingly developed the novel clay based thermometer and a co-author. 

“The Vastan record is unique in many ways. This is the first record of how tropical rainforest responded to elevated levels of CO2 and global warming in the past. The only other available record is from Neotropical South America. Vastan data shows that globally tropical plant community responded in tandem. Second, the increased rainfall during this super greenhouse earth exactly supports the IPCC prediction of intensified precipitation regime in case of a future extreme 4oC warming of the planet. Vastan is an ancient analogue of what our future greenhouse earth can be. Fossil fuel emission has increased the CO2 from pre-industrial level of 280 ppm to ~421 ppm in 2024. Climate models suggest that a doubling of CO2 will intensify the atmospheric circulation and consequently the rainfall. Nature already did experiment in the past that has lessons for us to learn. Many experts believe that the climate change due to such fast rate of global warming is now irreversible and collapse of rainforest or ocean biosphere is just imminent. The Vastan record shows that there may be some hope. At least the rain forest may take the heat stress and survive,” added Prof. Sarkar.

Reference: The Temperature-Precipitation Duel and Tropical Greening during the Early Eocene Greenhouse Episode by Samanta A. et al., Global and Planetary Change, Available online 16 October 2024, 104603:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818124002509

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By : Prof. Anindya Sarkar, Department of Geology and Geophysics, IIT Kharagpur
Email: sarkaranindya@hotmail.com

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IIT Kharagpur discovers Isotopes in Fossil Trees from Deccan Trap Lavas that Indicate Wetter Future Due to Global Warming

 

Deccan Trap lava hills in Western Ghats (Left) and columnar basaltic lavas (Right) which erupted 66 million years back killing dinosaurs and most life on earth.

A team of scientists from IIT Kharagpur and Academia Sinica, Taipei have indeed found evidence of triple oxygen isotopes of intertrappean fossil woods that led to very high annual rainfall during the catastrophic volcanism of Deccan trap that erupted in India about 66 million years back. The eruption drove a major mass extinction killing nearly 80% of all species of animals including the Dinosaurs. The depleted values of the oxygen isotopes suggest a higher tropical rainfall (1600 mm/y) in island India during terminal Cretaceous period. The increase in rainfall and its waning in the early Palaeocene closely follows change in palaeo-atmospheric pCO2 suggesting a possible underlying link. The inferred rainfall increase is consistent with modern climate models and palaeobotanical evidence.

Prof. Anindya Sarkar
Department of Geology and Geophysics
IIT Kharagpur 

“The available records of the atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperature over both land and ocean during the time of Deccan Trap eruption were analyzed. This was a period of cataclysm. All around the central and western India, Deccan trap lavas were erupting spewing huge amount of CO2 from deep interior of the earth thus increasing the then atmospheric CO2 concentration to as high as 1000 ppm (parts per million). The land and ocean temperatures increased by ~13°C and ~4°C respectively. It was a hot earth and unbearable for life. The rainfall, both before and after this high CO2 concentrated earth was just as normal as today. This was an ancient analogue of what our future greenhouse earth could be,” said IIT Kharagpur’s Prof. Anindya Sarkar of Geology and Geophysics who led the research.

Fossil fuel emission has increased the CO2 from pre‐industrial level of 280 ppm to ~420 ppm in 2023. Climate models suggest that a doubling of CO2 will intensify the atmospheric circulation and consequently the rainfall. Many experts, however, believe that the climate change due to such fast rate of global warming is now irreversible and another mass extinction is just imminent, added Prof. Sarkar.

66 million year old fossil trees from the lake sediments within Deccan lava flows and microscopic photograph of vascular bundles in palm tree (left), and Scanning electron microscopic image of the cellular structures of fossil palm trees (right)

The 2023 AR6 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warns if the CO2 emission and global warming continues unabated, annual wettest day precipitation will increase by manifold across all continents. Monsoonal precipitation associated with tropical cyclones over India will also increase by 40%. While these predictions are made through climate models, they can only be tested by studying the rainfall record in the past when the earth went through natural warming phase due to high CO2 emission.

The laser ablation system developed at IIT Kharagpur capable of analyzing ultra‐low quantity of rare isotopes of oxygen in silicate phases (shown by arrow)

 

“Deccan Traps are one of the most voluminous basaltic volcanic lavas erupted on Earth covering over 500,000 sq. km of the west‐central Indian subcontinent. We retrieved the past rainfall by analyzing oxygen isotopes in fossilized trees those grew around the lakes formed over the basaltic lavas of Deccan traps. It was as if an ancient forest was fossilized. These lakes were formed during the quiescent period between two successive lava flows. Known as intertrappeans, the sediments in these lakes contain abundant plant, frog and fish fossils. The trees were exceptionally well preserved and buried immediately after they fell in lake beds making them robust climate recorder,” added Prof. Sarkar.

Prof. Mao Chang Liang
Academia Sinica

“We studied very high magnification images of several palm trees from these lake sediments and found that their internal cellular structures are preserved just like modern trees,” said collaborator Prof. Mao Chang Liang from Academia Sinica.

There is considerable debate about the effect of future global warming on tropical precipitation. Interpretations from the global climate models differ due to an inadequate understanding of the processes controlling rainfall and associated feedback. The robustness of the predictions is also limited due to the lack of deep time data of precipitation in a high CO2 and warmer globe that existed in the geological past.

Sangbaran Ghoshmaulik
Ph.D Student
IIT Kharagpur

“Getting information about the past rainfall is tricky. We used a very novel and new technique of Laser beam as well as NanoSIMS (Nanoscale Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry) where the fossil trees were analyzed for all the three isotopes of oxygen namely, 16,17, and 18. The isotopes in the fossil trees record the isotopic composition of the lake water derived from rainfall. Analyzing isotopes of mass 17 is difficult since it occurs in extremely small quantity in natural materials. Globally there are only three or four laboratories those can reliably do this job. It took nearly four years for us to develop this method but once done the results were very startling” said Sangbaran Ghoshmaulik, a Ph.D student at IIT Kharagpur and the lead author of the paper.

The Cretaceous period represents an example of hot deep sea and land temperatures often exceeding 10 °C and 30 °C respectively and high CO2 earth. The intertrappean sediments deposited during the voluminous basaltic outpouring of end-Cretaceous Deccan volcanism in India provide a unique repository to infer the magnitude of tropical precipitation during an enhanced greenhouse period.

Prof. Sourendra Bhattacharya
Co‐author of the Paper
IIT Kharagpur

“Excepting the arid/semi‐arid regions, the modern annual rainfall over large part of peninsular India on an average is about 1000‐1200 mm. Our data suggested that these fossil trees recorded 1800‐1900 mm/year rainfall. This is exactly what the IPCC predicts in case of a future extreme 4oC warming of the planet,” said Prof. Sourendra Bhattacharya, a co‐author of the paper. The study has just been published online in prestigious Elsevier Journal Chemical Geology.

Link of the paper:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0009254123002991

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Contact person : Prof. Anindya Sarkar, Department of Geology and Geophysics, IIT Kharagpur
Email: sarkaranindya@hotmail.com

Edited By : Poulami Mondal, Digital & Creative Media Executive (Creative Writer)
Email: poulami.mondal@iitkgp.ac.in, media@iitkgp.ac.in, Ph. No.: +91-3222-282007

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Effective Control Technologies to Reduce Sulphur Dioxide Pollution In India

FLUE GAS DESULPHURIZATION REDUCES SO2 POLLUTION IN INDIA

A study by a team of researchers from IIT Kharagpur led by Prof. Jayanarayanan Kuttippurath from Centre for Oceans, Rivers, Atmosphere and Land Sciences (CORAL) found a significant decline in SO2 trends in India in the last decade, as compared to those in the previous three decades. The decrease in trend and concentration of SO2 is due to the environmental regulation and adaptation of effective control technologies such as scrubber and Flue Gas Desulphurization that shows the positive impact of technological advance and policy decisions to improve the air quality in India. The study represents temporal changes in SO2 concentrations over India in the past four decades (1980–2020). Thermal power plants (51%), and manufacturing and construction industries (29%) are the main sources of anthropogenic SO2 in India. The temporal analyses reveal that SO2 concentrations in India increased between 1980 and 2010 due to high coal burning and lack of novel technology to contain the emissions during that period. Both economic growth and air pollution control can be performed hand-in-hand by adopting new technology to reduce SO2 and GHG emission.

Prof. Jayanarayanan Kuttippurath
Centre for Oceans, Rivers, Atmosphere and Land Sciences (CORAL)
IIT Kharagpur

“SO2 is an atmospheric pollutant and can be converted to sulfate aerosols in high humid conditions. These aerosols can affect cloud reflectively, rainfall and regional climate by modifying the radiative forcing.  At high concentrations, SO2 affects adversely on human health and ecosystem as well. Therefore, continuous monitoring of its abundance in the atmosphere is highly warranted, as these kind of analyses would help making the policy decisions related to emissions. This particular study is serving that purpose,” remarked Jayanarayanan Kuttippurath, Centre for Oceans, Rivers, Atmosphere and Land Sciences (CORAL), IIT Kharagpur and the lead author of the study.

Sulphur dioxide (SO2) is one of the criteria pollutants that mainly released from the coal-based thermal power plants. At higher concentrations, it has hazardous affects on public health and environs. In this study, we find a significant decline in SO2 trends in India in the last decade, as compared to those in the previous three decades. The decrease in trend and concentration of SO2 is due to the environmental regulation and adaptation of effective control technologies such as Scrubber and Flue Gas Desulphurization showing the positive impact of technological advance and policy decisions to improve the air quality in India.

“Our analysis shows Indo-Gangetic Plain and Central and Eastern India regions as the SO2 hotspots in India. Although there is a relative reduction in SO2 in the last decade, the concentration of SO2 is still very high in these regions. Therefore, we need to continue our efforts to reduce SO2 emission in India, whether it is with innovative technology or environmental regulations,” said Vikas Kumar Patel, another author of the paper.

Fig 1: The SO2 trends in the last four decades in India. A rapid economic development in the 2001-2010 periods shows the largest trends among the decades. However, the recent decades with technological advance and environment policies help to reduce atmospheric SO2 concentrations and its trends.

An improved air quality monitoring network is needed to understand the spatial and temporal changes of pollutants, which would help to make policies relevant to improve air quality and to meet targeted reduction in emissions. The measurements and emissions in this study have uncertainities and are not computed in absolute figures. However, the trends computed are statistically significant across all Indian regions. Therefore, the findings have important implications for future environmental policies on India’s SO2 emissions and for understanding the impact of SO2 on regional climate, air quality, ecosystem dynamics, and public health. This study also provides a baseline for future studies that would critically examine changes in SO2 pollution as a result of the country’s socio-economic development.

“What we have found from our analysis is that, SO2 has been increasing in India for the past few decades, consistent with our economic development, but a declining trend in SO2 is found in the last decade (2010-2020). This is a good sign. The implementation of Bharat Stage norms on vehicular emissions, regulations for power plants to employ scrubber and FGD technologies, and policies encouraging the production of renewable energy may have contributed to this reduction in SO2 emissions,” added Prof. Kuttippurath.

Fig 2: Ground-based measurements also show reduction or stabilization of SO2 emissions; as shown for different cities here.

Due to rapid industrialization and urbanization in the past decades, India’s energy demand has been increased substantially with coal consumptions. The expansion of coal-based electricity generation in India is the primary cause of the country’s high emission. Although these help economic development of the country, the air pollution also increases along with it, which poses a health concern. Currently, India is one of the world largest emitters of SO2, accounting for more than 15% of global anthropogenic emissions. The situation warrants reduction SO2 emission in our country. However, majority of coal plants in India lack the Flue-Gas Desulfurization (FGD) technology necessary to adequately remove SO2 emissions. On the other hand, India’s power sector has seen an increase in renewable energy capacity, which would help to curb the pollution in India.

Prof. V K Tewari, Director, IIT Kharagpur stated, “India relies heavily on coal-based thermal power plants to meet its energy demands. Analysis of spatial and temporal changes in SO2 using accurate and continuous observations is required to formulate mitigation strategies to curb the increasing air pollution in India. Since 2010, India’s renewable energy production has also increased substantially when India adopted a sustainable development policy. The shift in energy production from conventional coal to renewable sources, solid environmental regulation, better inventory, and effective technology would help to curb SO2 pollution in India. India’s nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement includes achieving about 40% cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel-based energy resources by 2030. This commitment would help to reduce the dependency on the coal-based energy, and also help to curb the SO2 pollution in the future.”

Publication Links:

https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-21319-2

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Contact Person: Prof. Jayanarayanan Kuttippurath, Centre for Oceans, Rivers, Atmosphere and Land Sciences (CORAL)
Email: jayan@coral.iitkgp.ac.in

Edited by : Poulami Mondal, Digital & Creative Media Executive (Creative Writer)
Email: poulami.mondal@iitkgp.ac.in, media@iitkgp.ac.in, Ph. No.: +91-3222-282007

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IIT KGP and Houston University to Promote Collaborative Programs in Petroleum Engineering

Financial Express    The Week    Jagran Josh     Business Standard     NDTV    Indian Express

IIT Kharagpur and the University of Houston have signed MoU for joint academic and research collaborations. The initial areas of work identified include Petroleum Engineering, covering niche aspects of Chemical, Advanced Materials, Deep Sea Technology and Analytics and Industrial Engineering, confirmed Prof. P P Chakrabarti, Director, IIT Kharagpur, in a social media post.

On September 14, 2018, a team of delegates from IIT Kharagpur visiting USA led by the Director, met Dr. Renu Khator, Chancellor the University of Houston System and President of University of Houston. The team also met Dr. Joseph W. Tedesco, Dean of Cullen College of Engineering and Dr. Jamie Ortiz, Vice-Provost, UH Global Strategies and Studies.

The University of Houston is a leader in energy research and environmental education among others. It serves the Houston and Gulf Coast regions through experiential learning, industry partnerships and the interdisciplinary Energy Research Park.

In 2016, IIT Kharagpur has set up the Deysarkar Centre of Excellence in Petroleum Engineering funded by distinguished alumni Asoke Deysarkar and Ruma Acharya Deysarkar. It is targeted towards Industry-Academia Synergy and innovation and training platform for future leaders in the energy sector. The departments of Chemical Engineering, Metallurgy and Materials Engineering, Industrial and Systems Engineering and Ocean Engineering and Naval Architecture too attract best-in-class faculty and students.

The two institutions with their focus in energy and associated areas would collaborate on interdisciplinary academic and research programs.

In addition to this, the MoU includes scope for mutual cooperation programmes to promote regional understanding of India and USA, faculty development and improving the international experience of students.

IIT Kharagpur also signed an MoU with University of Massachusetts Dartmouth to explore opportunities in Blue Economy. Read More